Showing posts with label finance. Show all posts
Showing posts with label finance. Show all posts

Thursday, October 23, 2008

India is the highest recipient of remittances from abroad

The Minister of Overseas Indian Affairs, Shri Vayalar Ravi told the Rajya Sabha today that India is the highest recipient of remittances from abroad. About 40% of this is the estimated remittances received from overseas Indian workers including from semi-skilled and unskilled workers in the gulf.

The remittances from Overseas Indians for the year 2007 were estimated at US $27 billion. These are in the nature of private funds transferred by individuals for various purposes including to meet consumption expenditure of their families back home. The data in this respect is maintained by the Reserve Bank of India.
With the Foreign Exchange reserves rapidly dwindling due to the rapid increase in demand for dollars (owing to the FIIs selling and taking their money out of the country as well as the high cost of fuel), this could be a blessing in disguise and a route that should be encouraged by the government so as to balance the outflow of foreign exchange.

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Crystal ball gazing, where are we headed from here?

"Your next-door neighbour can likely predict what is going to happen as accurately as we can." - Steve Jobs

This accurately sums up the debate today. In India everybody has an opinion about everything but the fact is that nobody knows where we are headed and what’s in store over the next couple of years. Today, on TV, there is a story of a couple killing themselves due to a set back suffered in the market. One day the market jumps 600 points and promptly the next day there is selling pressure bringing it back to the same or lower levels. The pundits who, at the beginning of the year, were talking of the sensex hitting 25,000 (some had even started talking of 50,000) are now asking ordinary investors to ‘have faith’ and keep invested for the ‘long run’. Try explaining this to a guy who had put in his life’s savings in the stock market and his corpus is now down 70%. What a mess, and we still have no clue as to where the bottom is, as we really don’t know how many more skeletons are yet to pop up across the world. Who all are guilty for this is another story, but as Jack and Suzy Welch said, quoting Agatha Christie, in Murder on the Orient Express, I guess, everybody is guilty in one way or another.

The only saving grace of being in India is that we are nowhere near a ‘recession’ and should grow between 6-7% even this year despite the global crisis. All of us who are getting regular calls from NRIs in the west should brace up for handling a greater influx of returning Indians this year, the only catch being – are these returning Indians capable of delivering under the Indian conditions? If not, just like a number of others, they will soon be going back to the west as soon as things improve a bit.

PS. Wipro has just announced its numbers and has cautioned about the future but TCS is still gung ho!

Monday, September 18, 2006

Warren Buffet on Value

 

Price is what you Pay, Value is what you Get

                                                                                 Warren Buffet

Thursday, September 29, 2005

Selling your Business

I guess all entrepreneurs have an emotional attachment to their business which prevents them from even contemplating selling the same until circumstances force them to. This is typically true of Indian Entrepreneurs.

Just yesterday I was in meeting where it was established that even though one of the business units of the family was making continuous losses, and there seems to be no way out, still the promoter who had started the same and nurtured it over the years was continuing to cross subsidise the same instead of looking to exit. There are many such similar situations where the promoter’s emotions have prevented the right solution being adopted.

This led me to try and pen down what are the top 5 errors that most entrepreneurs make while trying to divest their existing business.

1. In todays world the only thing constant is change. As such it is most important to decide right at the beginning of a venture as to when you would like to make an exit. It is like the stock market, you invest in a share with a certain return in mind and then stick to the plan or you might end up loosing your shirt. In any case, even in case one has not decided this in advance, one should try and give it enough lead time or else one will not do justice to the exit strategy and end up loosing in the final deal. Further, in most cases the Buyer would want the existing management to continue for a specified period so as to achieve a smooth transition and that time should be also be factored in by the Seller.

2. Selling a business is not like selling Real Estate, although, today, even selling real estate has become complex. Businesses are of various types and shapes and consist of elements which can have a different meaning for different people. As such it is advisable to take the assistance of someone who has handled such transactions and not try to do it yourself. In most cases you will come out ahead by getting a better price. I remember in one of the transactions that I was involved in from the buyers side, one was able to bring down the valuation by more than 50%. The impact ran into millions of dollars.

3. Competition drives up the price. As such it is of utmost importance to try and have more than one buyer or else you end up loosing by not getting the right price. This is true of every transaction in any sphere of life. This too can be achieved by taking the assistance of Investment Bankers/ Management Consultants who specialise in such deal making. It will be well worth the effort.

4. Identifying the right buyer is another important aspect which needs considerable attention. Typically a Strategic Buyer would see a strategic fit with their current line of business and be agreeable to pay a greater price as compared to a Financial Buyer who is primarily looking at it as a specific period investment and would like to see returns by way of Dividends and Appreciation in value over a defined period before exiting. they would not normally interfere with the management of the company except to ensure proper financial discipline and control. A Strategic Buyer would see longterm value as the acquisition would strengthen and add synergies to its main business.

5. Although I have touched upon this in an earlier point, however, I have found that most SME sector entrepreneurs do not know how to project their key strengths / assets that could influence value substantially. You need to identify all your value drivers, both tangible and intangible, more so in case you are in the Services Industry. These could be the credentials of the management, the brand recognition, unique process or process maturity, intellectual property etc.


In the end it is best to remember the Biblical saying “Where there is no vision, the people perish”